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Tuesday, February 17, 2015

Exclusive: Mobile Data Traffic in India will grow 13-Fold in Five Years - Cisco

In India, mobile data traffic will grow 13-fold from 2014 to 2019, a compound annual growth rate of 67 percent, according to Cisco’s ‘VNI Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast’ report. Mobile data traffic will grow three times faster than fixed traffic in the same period. 

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The mobile data traffic will account for 28 percent of Indian fixed and mobile data traffic by 2019, up from 9 percent in 2014. The rapid increase in mobile data traffic will be driven by more devices and users, as well as faster networks, according to the latest forecast from Cisco. 

Global mobile data traffic will reach an annual run rate of 292 billion GB by 2019, up from 30 billion in 2014.

A latest annual update of the Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast for 2014 to 2019, the ongoing adoption of more powerful mobile devices and machine-to-machine (M2M) connections combined with broader access to faster cellular networks are key contributors to significant mobile traffic growth.

In India, smartphone mobile data traffic will grow 20.8-fold from 2014 to 2019, a compound annual growth rate of 83 percent. And, smartphones will account for 76 percent of total mobile data traffic by 2019, compared to 48 percent at the end of 2014.

In India, in 2014 the average 4G speed was 5,575 kbps, the average 3G speed was 1,396 kbps, and the average 2G speed was 70 kbps. By 2019, the average 4G speed will be 8,978 kbps, the average 3G speed will be 3,394 kbps, and the average 2G speed will be 116 kbps.

The average 3G speed will grow 2.4-fold (19 percent CAGR) from 2014 to 2019, reaching 3,394 kbps by 2019.

In 2014, India's business mobile data traffic grew 1.6-fold, or 59 percent; and is expected to grow 12.2-fold from 2014 to 2019, a compound annual growth rate of 65 percent. Business will account for 10 percent of India's mobile data traffic by 2019.

“The ongoing adoption of more powerful mobile devices and wider deployments of emerging M2M applications, combined with broader access to faster wireless networks, will be key contributors to significant mobile traffic growth in the coming years. This mobile-centric environment will give service providers a new landscape of challenges and opportunities to innovatively deliver a variety of mobile services and experiences to consumers and business users as the Internet of Everything (IoE) continues to take shape,” said Doug Webster, Vice President of Service Provider Products and Solutions Marketing, Cisco.

“The worldwide shift from basic-feature phones to smartphones – combined with the continued growth in tablets, a resurgence in laptops with tablet-like capabilities as well as expanding machine-to-machine (M2M) applications – are key factors supporting the increasing smart traffic trend,” the report mentioned in its statement.

Dear readers, please share your opinion and views about Cisco's forecast via comments.

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